UPS — TLI Research (2026-10-02)

Summary

UPS (United Parcel Service) — TLI SAFE HAVEN with +6.9% dividend. The price has moved into the Buy Zone between the 0.618 Fib at $97 and the 0.78 Fib at $90, with a clear Wave C down indicating the bottom of Wave 2 could be very near. Focus: hold $90, then challenge the 50 WMA at $103. Reclaiming the 0.618 Fib at $112 enters the Bull Case, then the 200 WMA at $131. Wave 3 target: 1.618 Fib at $155.

TLI Analysis — Key Levels & Timeline

2026-10-01 — email #104018 — Buy Zone Entry, Wave C Down

Subject: $UPS Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post.

• Price has now moved into the Buy Zone between the 0.618 Fib at $97 and the 0.78 Fib at $90
• A clear Wave C down has been seen, indicating the bottom of Wave 2 could be very near
• Focus now is holding $90, then challenging the 50 WMA at $103 from below and flipping this level to support
• From there, want the price to reclaim the 0.618 Fib at $112 — holding above this level and $UPS has entered the Bull Case
• Then turn focus to the 200 WMA at $131
• Wave 3 target: 1.618 Fib at $155
• +6.9% dividend here too

Position Context

• Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐ — SAFE HAVEN with dividend
• Key levels: $90 (0.78 Fib / Buy Zone support), $97 (0.618 Fib Buy Zone top), $103 (50 WMA), $112 (0.618 Fib, Bull Case trigger), $131 (200 WMA), $155 (W3 target 1.618 Fib)
• Role: Logistics defensive + dividend income
• Strategy: Buy Zone $90-$97; hold $90, flip $103 and $112 for Bull Case

Price Check

• 2026-10-02 — $93.89 (+0.48%). Inside Buy Zone $90-$97.

2026-10-06 — email #104289 — SAFE HAVEN — Iran War End Catalyst Setup

Subject: $UPS - SAFE HAVEN - Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post with chart image. Key analysis: - $UPS looks very good here - Once the war ends with Iran, this setup should move very quickly on the news - Exposure to $UPS offers potential for rapid move post-conflict resolution Price check: 2026-10-06 — $93.89 (unchanged from prior close). Inside Buy Zone $90-$97. Iran peace catalyst. Wave C down near Wave 2 bottom. W3 target $155.