BTC — TLI Research (2026-09-14)

Summary

TLI analysis of $BTC. $BTC and $ETH are both in the same impulse count now for me on the subwave chart Both are looking to move into Subwave 5 and are performing very well since the low in June, where $ETH is now up +35% a...

Current Price: $82000.0

TLI Analysis — Key Levels & Timeline

2026-09-14 — email #103296

Subject: $BTC - TOP 20 - Price check: 2026-09-14 — $82000.0

View in app View in app $BTC and $ETH are both in the same impulse count now for me on the subwave chart Both are looking to move into Subwave 5 and are performing very well since the low in June, where $ETH is now up +35% and $BTC has bounce from $57k to $82k Here Subwave 3 overshot the standard 1.618 Fib (unlike on the $ETH chart, where it hit the 1.618 Fib exactly and pulled back for Subwave 4), so I believe this is why $BTC did not experience the same reaction to the CPI print because it still has to complete its subwave 4 pull back to the 0.38 Fib at $74.6k, which would be standard A test and hold of support here and I would expect Subwave 4 to be complete and then Subwave 5 should be next to $86.7k....which was the support flipped to resistance level for the first 6 months of 2026 $BTC for me is moving in a new impulse count and there is a strong argument that the bottom is in after holding support on its 200 WMA and bouncing strong.

Price Check

2026-09-15 — email #103361

Subject: $BTC - TOP 20 - Price check: 2026-09-16 — $75,725.63

I want to be clear: Regardless of whether the Clarity Act passes or not, it makes little to no difference on the survival of $BTC and its chart. The Clarity Act vote relating to crypto is taking place tomorrow with ETH. The uncertainty around regulation has created noise, but the technical setup remains intact — Subwave 5 target remains $86.7k. - Focus on technical pattern, not regulatory headlines.

2026-09-20 — email #103565 — TOP 20 (Image-based)

Subject: $BTC - TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-18 — BTC TOP 20 image received Sunday post. Subwave 5 target $86.7k. BTC bounced from $57k to $82k. Clarity Act vote noise settled.

2026-09-24 — email #103711 — TOP 20 (Text)

Subject: $BTC - TOP 20 - Price check: 2026-09-24 — $84,102.61

$BTC has found resistance at the standard Wave 5 rejection level. TLI added the 3.618 Fib at $96k if price flips the 2.618 Fib to support, but so far it has met firm resistance. Wave 5 is always set at the 2.618 Fib. A standard 3-wave pullback into the Buy Zone to the Green 0.5 Fib at $72.5k would be standard next — 5 waves up, 3 waves down, then more upside. Members may consider adding again in the next buy zone if they did not add at or below the 200 WMA in July.