PEP — TLI Research (2026-10-02)

Summary

PEP (PepsiCo) is a TLI SAFE HAVEN candidate — +4.7% dividend yield. TLI flags the MONTHLY chart as extremely oversold: price action dropped to the 200 MONTHLY MA at $118, back to 2017 levels. RSI on the Monthly is at 31. TLI prefers adding PEP (not KO) once it holds its 200 MONTHLY MA around $120.

TLI Analysis — Key Levels & Timeline

2026-10-02 — email #104095 — +4.7% Dividend, Oversold at 200 MONTHLY MA

Subject: $PEP +4.7% Dividend Type: Text-based post with MONTHLY chart.

• Sharing the MONTHLY chart to show how oversold this position is right now
• On many legacy companies price action is dropping to extreme oversold levels of the 200 MONTHLY MA, which typically offers a lot more value
• 200 MONTHLY MA for $PEP is at $118 — brings price action back to 2017 levels
• $PEP has declined while $KO has roared higher; these two typically move in sync — "is this an opportunity?....I believe so"
• Would NOT add $KO at these levels but WOULD be happy to add $PEP once it holds its 200 MONTHLY MA around $120, also an ABC correction support level
• +4.7% DIVIDEND is the sweetener while buying at an oversold level
• RSI on the Monthly is at 31 — oversold with a margin of safety
• $PEP Fundamental Analysis shared this week if considering a position
• $120 looks attractive to add at

Position Context

• Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐ — new SAFE HAVEN / value candidate
• Key levels: $118 (200 MONTHLY MA), $120 (add level), ABC correction support
• Role: Legacy consumer defensive, oversold value + dividend play
• Strategy: Add once 200 MONTHLY MA around $120 holds

Price Check

• 2026-10-02 — $125.60 (-0.88%). Above 200 MONTHLY MA $118. TLI add level $120. RSI monthly 31 oversold.

2026-10-08 — email #104390 — Q3'26 Earnings Results (Image-based)

Subject: $PEP - Q3'26 Earnings Results - Type: Image-based post. Earnings results shared as images. Price check: 2026-10-08 — $123.73 (Oct 7 close).

2026-10-08 — email #104393 — SAFE HAVEN WATCHLIST — Double Beat +140% Cash Flow

Subject: $PEP - SAFE HAVEN +4.8% DIVIDEND - WATCHLIST Type: Text-based WATCHLIST post. Key analysis: - $PEP just reported — double beat on earnings - +140% Cash Flow increase — share price follows cash flow - Chart: Wave C dropped below the blue line giving a lower low below Wave A support - Price touched within distance of very strong confluence level: 0.5 Fib + 200 MONTHLY MA at $120 - Price action is deeply oversold relative to historical price action - Buy Zone: $120 to $127 — an opportunity to buy PEP right in the middle of the Buy Zone - Members looking for safe haven positions right now — PEP fits Price check: 2026-10-08 — $123.73 (Oct 7 close). Inside Buy Zone $120-$127. 0.5 Fib + 200 MONTHLY MA confluence at $120 support.

2026-10-09 — email #104450 — Q3'26 Infographics (Image-based)

Subject: $PEP - Q3'26 Infographics - Type: Image-based infographics post. Price check: 2026-10-09 — $123.73 (prior close). Infographics post — no new text analysis.

2026-10-09 — email #104461 — Q3'26 Valuation Analysis (Image-based)

Subject: $PEP - Q3'26 Valuation Analysis Type: Image-based PDF Valuation Analysis attachment. Price check: 2026-10-09 — $123.73 (prior close). PDF valuation analysis — no extractable text.