Summary
Silver is a TLI SAFE HAVEN position. TLI flagged a retest of the 50 Day MA at $63, now playing out. The confluence of the 50 Day MA and 0.5 Fib sits at $63 — if price dips below, Silver enters the Buy Zone and is a candidate to add. Still very bullish on Silver; TLI believes capital will rotate to Silver over the winter.
TLI Analysis — Key Levels & Timeline
2026-09-24 — email #103718 — SAFE HAVEN (Text)
Subject: SILVER - SAFE HAVEN -
Price check: 2026-09-24 — SLV $57.37 (Spot: retesting 50 DMA at $63)
TLI mentioned yesterday in the chat that a retest of the 50 Day MA at $63 was possible — now seeing that play out. If the price dips below the confluence level of the 50 Day MA and the 0.5 Fib at $63, it would enter our Buy Zone and we can look at adding on support. No reason to rush any decisions — how price behaves here will be key. Still very bullish on Silver and believes strongly that capital will rotate to Silver over the winter.
Position Context
- Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ — SAFE HAVEN (core)
- Key levels: $63 (50 DMA + 0.5 Fib confluence, Buy Zone trigger); historical thesis: W5 target $160
- Role: Defensive metals hedge, winter rotation candidate
Price Check
- 2026-09-24 — SLV $57.37 (-1.35%) Live afternoon price update. Retesting $63 confluence per TLI (spot basis).
2026-09-25 — email #103744 — SAFE HAVEN — Retesting 50 DMA $63
Subject: SILVER - SAFE HAVEN -
Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post.
- Price retested the 50 Day MA at $63 and this level is holding well so far
- Focus: as long as price holds above 50 DMA, expect challenge of 200 Day MA at $72 from below
- That would form a higher high and confirm the beginning of Wave 3
- If 50 DMA fails, downside risk to Buy Zone between 0.5 Fib $63 and 0.618 Fib $61
- Still believes this is the beginning of Wave 3
- Breaking above 200 DMA = Silver has entered the Bull Case
- Wave 3 target: 1.618 Fib at $87
Price check: 2026-09-25 — SLV not in current batch. Retesting 50 DMA $63. W3 target $87. Bull Case above 200 DMA $72.
2026-09-27 — email #103850 — SAFE HAVEN WATCHLIST (Image-based)
Subject: SILVER - SAFE HAVEN - WATCHLIST -
Type: Image-based SAFE HAVEN chart post. No extractable text.
Price check: 2026-09-28 — SLV $25.72 (-0.08%). Retesting 50 DMA $63. W3 target $87. Bull Case above 200 DMA $72.
2026-09-28 — email #103873 — Precious Metals Update — Video (Transcript)
Subject: Precious Metals Update — Video
Type: Video post with transcript by Vojtech.
Key quote: "Good morning, everyone. Vojtech here. And today we will take a look at a precious metals update video, because there hasn't been one in a while..."
Price check: 2026-09-28 close — SLV spot. Precious metals video update. Silver retesting 50 DMA $63 confluence with 0.5 Fib. W3 target $87. Bull Case above 200 DMA $72.
2026-09-30 — email #103948 — SAFE HAVEN WATCHLIST (Image-based)
Subject: SILVER - SAFE HAVEN - WATCHLIST -
Type: Image-based SAFE HAVEN WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text.
Price check: 2026-09-30 — SLV $25.72 (-0.08%). Silver SAFE HAVEN WATCHLIST image-based post. Retesting 50 DMA $63 (spot). W3 target $87. Bull Case above 200 DMA $72.
2026-10-02 — email #104084 — SAFE HAVEN — Hold Support $61
Subject: SILVER - SAFE HAVEN -
Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post.
- TLI shared a detailed chart yesterday on Silver; advises reviewing the commentary to understand impulse vs corrective waves and why they are bullish
- Market is on a knife edge; lots of consolidations across the board = market needs more information before deciding direction
- SILVER is a safe haven and hedge; where investors and nations park cash when concerned with the market
- "Silver is one of the best positioned assets to benefit from market weakness over the next 6 months"
- All the bulls want to see is a hold of support at $61 and the direction next is to the upside
Price check: 2026-10-02 — SLV $55.02 (+0.94%). Watching hold of support at $61 (spot). Best positioned asset for next 6 months.
2026-10-05 — email #104240 — Updated Top 20 List — Silver IN
Subject: Updated Top 20 List
Type: Text-based — "$NIO out / Silver in" — Silver added to the TOP 20, NIO removed.
- Silver promoted into the TOP 20 on the latest list refresh, reinforcing its SAFE HAVEN / core-bullish standing
Price check: 2026-10-05 — SLV $55.19 (-0.31%). Silver now a TOP 20 member. Watch hold of support $61 (spot); W3 target $87, Bull Case above 200 DMA $72.
2026-10-08 — email #104391 — TOP 20 — Testing 0.78 Fib $58
Subject: SILVER - TOP 20 -
Type: Text-based chart post.
Key analysis:
- Silver testing the 0.78 Fib at $58 for support
- Deeper pullback below 0.618 Fib — no concern: Wave 2s can retrace deeper than 0.618 Fib
- Similar move in October last year: dropped 20% before jumping 200%
- Initial market pressure on Silver, then capital rotates back as safe haven
- Once Silver bounces, it will happen quickly
- 50 Day MA at $64 reclaimed, then challenge 200 Day MA at $72 from below
- "I'm happy with this chart — we should be very grateful for this opportunity in the $50s"
|Price check: 2026-10-08 — SLV $53.82 (Oct 7 close). Testing 0.78 Fib $58 support. Deeper Wave 2 retrace. Buy opportunity in $50s per TLI.
2026-10-09 — email #104432 — TOP 20 — SAFE HAVEN — Buyers Stepped In at 0.78 Fib $58
Subject: SILVER - TOP 20 - SAFE HAVEN -
Type: Text-based TOP 20 SAFE HAVEN post.
Key analysis:
- Buyers stepped in at the 0.78 Fib at $58 — so far, so good
- Watching for reclaim of 0.618 Fib at $61, then challenge 50 Day MA at $64
Price check: 2026-10-09 — SLV $53.82 (Oct 7 close). Buyers defending $58. Next targets: $61 (0.618 Fib), $64 (50 DMA).