Se Research 2026 09 07

What changed in the latest update +78 −5

@@ -1 +0,0 @@ − --- @@ -5 +4 @@ created: '2026-09-07T00:00:00Z' @@ -8,0 +8,9 @@ sources: + - email://103377 + - email://103571 + - email://103661 + - email://103715 + - email://103774 + - email://103832 + - email://103869 + - email://103951 + - email://104083 @@ -32,0 +41 @@ SE (Sea Limited) is a TLI TOP 10 & TOP 20 regular — high conviction position. + @@ -38 +47 @@ SE (Sea Limited) is a TLI TOP 10 & TOP 20 regular — high conviction position. − - Vojtech video: positions being considered for addition after confirming corrections + - Vojtek video: positions being considered for addition after confirming corrections @@ -40,0 +50,9 @@ SE (Sea Limited) is a TLI TOP 10 & TOP 20 regular — high conviction position. + | **2026-09-14** — **$108.49** Close price update. + + ### 2026-09-14 — email #103341 — BUY ALERT IMMINENT + - **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - BUY ALERT + - Perfect Wave 2 pullback completed + - Support at $104 confluence of 0.5 Fib + 200 Day MA — bounced to $109 + - 50 Day MA aligning with 0.38 Fib at $110 — if flipped to support, pullback complete + - Entering Wave 3 — buy alert expected shortly + - **Price check: 2026-09-14 — $108.49** @@ -43,3 +61,58 @@ SE (Sea Limited) is a TLI TOP 10 & TOP 20 regular — high conviction position. − |- **2026-09-11** — **$107.69** Live price update. − |- **2026-09-09** — **$109.28** (-3.57%) Red day -3.57%. − |- **2026-09-10** — **$108.71** (-4.08%) Below $111 0.38 Fib. New TOP 10 & TOP 20 image post (#103179) today. Next support $104. + + | **2026-09-15** — **$103.92** Live price update. + + | **2026-09-11** — **$107.69** Live price update. + | **2026-09-09** — **$109.28** (-3.57%) Red day -3.57%. + | **2026-09-10** — **$108.71** (-4.08%) Below $111 0.38 Fib. New TOP 10 & TOP 20 image post (#103179) today. Next support $104. + + ### 2026-09-16 — email #103377: BUY ALERT + **$SE BUY ALERT AT $106!** email #103377: Buy alert triggered at $106. Price has completed Wave 2 pullback, support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Bouncing from $109. Price check: 2026-09-16 — **$102.65** (-2.8%). + | **2026-09-16** — **$104.77** Live afternoon price update. Bouncing from $102.65 Sep 15 low after buy alert at $106. Back above $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Wave 3 entry. + + ### 2026-09-20 — email #103571 — TOP 10 & 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-18 close — **$101.79** (+0.51%). Holding near $102. Buy alert at $106 active. Wave 2 pullback support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation. + | **2026-09-21** — **$102.29** — Near flat. Buy alert at $106 active. Wave 2 support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation. + + ### 2026-09-22 — email #103661 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-22 — **$102.65** (-0.35%). Buy alert at $106 active. Still holding near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation after consolidation. + + | **2026-09-24** — **$103.29** — Pre-market Sep 24 — $103.29 (Sep 23 close). Buy alert at $106 active. Holding near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Sep 22 WATCHLIST #103661. + + ### 2026-09-24 — email #103715 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Text) + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - + **Price check:** 2026-09-24 — $101.17 + + TLI: retail behavior — just one month ago everyone loved $SE, but TLI was very prepared for a Wave 2 pullback (every reversal must be confirmed with a clear higher low). Wanted a pullback between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib — exactly what we got. Textbook and expected; no concerns. Expect buyers to continue stepping in at these levels; members bullish on $SE and happy to accumulate here would be making a very smart move. The 200 Day MA is at $104 — if price flips it to support then breaks above the 50 Day MA at $111, likely move back up to top of Wave 1 at $132 quite quickly. Wave 2 typically retraces to 0.5 or 0.618 Fib — perfect on this chart, quite similar to the $NVO chart. + | **2026-09-25** — **$99.97** Friday afternoon price update. Video post (#103774) covering SE, PEP, UPS. Buy alert at $106 active. Still near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). + + ### 2026-09-27 — email #103832 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. + | **Price check:** 2026-09-28 — **$99.55** (-1.17%). Buy alert at $106 active. Near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Sep 24 text analysis: expecting Wave 2 pullback to finish, then Wave 3 continuation. + + ### 2026-09-28 — email #103869 — BUY ALERT (Text) + **$SE BUY ALERT AT $98!** — 5th Buy. Text-only Patreon post. + **Price check: 2026-09-28 close — $99.04** (-0.56%). Buy alert at $98 active (new lower buy level). Price continues to consolidate near $99-$100 zone. Wave 2 pullback still in progress; $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA) below. 5th buy entry — TLI accumulating. + + **Price check:** 2026-09-29 — **$98.37** (-0.54%). W2 pullback to 0.5-0.618 Fib range. BUY ALERT at $98 active. + + ### 2026-09-30 — email #103951 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 (Image-based) + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-30 — **$98.62.** Image-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 post. BUY ALERT at $98 active. W2 pullback ongoing, $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA) below. + + ### 2026-10-02 — email #104083 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — Dipped Below 0.618 Fib + **Subject:** $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - + **Type:** Text-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 post. + - Although the price has dipped below the 0.618 Fib, this is actually very nice price action + - Resistance at the 50 WMA; pullback to the 200 WMA + - **200 WMA at $93 is clearly acting as a magnet** — if that level can hold for support, this would be the next low risk entry level + - Once support is confirmed, focus on challenging the **50 WMA at $109** from below + - Then a higher high at **$131**, continue up to the **Bull Case line at $148** + - **Wave 3 target remains at the 1.618 Fib at $192** + **Price check:** 2026-10-02 — **$95.27** (-2.15%). Dipped below 0.618 Fib. 200 WMA $93 = next low risk entry if holds. W3 target $192. + | **2026-10-02 (afternoon)** — **$94.98** Live afternoon price update.

new section edited section · markers reflect the latest update

title: SE — Research (2026-09-07) project: trading created: '2026-09-07T00:00:00Z' updated: '2026-10-08T18:00:00Z' sources: - email://103043 - email://103179 - email://103377 - email://103571 - email://103661 - email://103715 - email://103774 - email://103832 - email://103869 - email://103951 - email://104083 - email://104261 - email://104370 - email://104399 tags: - se - tli - research - sea - tech category: concept theme: Research

Summary

SE (Sea Limited) is a TLI TOP 10 & TOP 20 regular — high conviction position. One of the 5 core safe haven recommendations alongside Silver, NVO, BABA, and UNH. Has not stirred members wrong in 2 years. Moving in a very controlled impulse count.

TLI Analysis (Sep 7, 2026) edited

Strong argument that Wave B is now complete
Test of amber resistance levels followed by red candle and lower low = rejection
Once 0.38 Fib at $111 is lost, expect further drop to $104 level
Has been a consistent performer for 2+ years
Similar chart pattern to SPOT — both consolidated for months along support, built strength, then broke higher
Part of TLIs core holdings alongside JD, BABA, UNH

Position Context edited

Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ — TOP 10/20 regular
Role: Southeast Asian tech (Garena, Shopee, SeaMoney)
Key level: $111 (0.38 Fib), next support $104
Type: Long-term impulse count position

Sep 11, 2026 (email #103234) — Watchlist Video — Adding After ABC Correction edited

Vojtek video: positions being considered for addition after confirming corrections
SE mentioned alongside NVO, BABA, Silver
Price check: 2026-09-11 — $107.03 (-0.61%) — Below $111 0.38 Fib. Next support $104. || 2026-09-14 — $108.49 Close price update.

2026-09-14 — email #103341 — BUY ALERT IMMINENT new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - BUY ALERT
Perfect Wave 2 pullback completed
Support at $104 confluence of 0.5 Fib + 200 Day MA — bounced to $109
50 Day MA aligning with 0.38 Fib at $110 — if flipped to support, pullback complete
Entering Wave 3 — buy alert expected shortly
Price check: 2026-09-14 — $108.49

Price Check new

|| 2026-09-15 — $103.92 Live price update.

|| 2026-09-11 — $107.69 Live price update. || 2026-09-09 — $109.28 (-3.57%) Red day -3.57%. || 2026-09-10 — $108.71 (-4.08%) Below $111 0.38 Fib. New TOP 10 & TOP 20 image post (#103179) today. Next support $104.

2026-09-16 — email #103377: BUY ALERT new

$SE BUY ALERT AT $106! email #103377: Buy alert triggered at $106. Price has completed Wave 2 pullback, support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Bouncing from $109. Price check: 2026-09-16 — $102.65 (-2.8%). || 2026-09-16 — $104.77 Live afternoon price update. Bouncing from $102.65 Sep 15 low after buy alert at $106. Back above $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Wave 3 entry.

2026-09-20 — email #103571 — TOP 10 & 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - Type: Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-18 close — $101.79 (+0.51%). Holding near $102. Buy alert at $106 active. Wave 2 pullback support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation. || 2026-09-21 — $102.29 — Near flat. Buy alert at $106 active. Wave 2 support at $104 (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation.

2026-09-22 — email #103661 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - Type: Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-22 — $102.65 (-0.35%). Buy alert at $106 active. Still holding near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Watching for Wave 3 continuation after consolidation.

|| 2026-09-24 — $103.29 — Pre-market Sep 24 — $103.29 (Sep 23 close). Buy alert at $106 active. Holding near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Sep 22 WATCHLIST #103661.

2026-09-24 — email #103715 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Text) new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - Price check: 2026-09-24 — $101.17

TLI: retail behavior — just one month ago everyone loved $SE, but TLI was very prepared for a Wave 2 pullback (every reversal must be confirmed with a clear higher low). Wanted a pullback between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib — exactly what we got. Textbook and expected; no concerns. Expect buyers to continue stepping in at these levels; members bullish on $SE and happy to accumulate here would be making a very smart move. The 200 Day MA is at $104 — if price flips it to support then breaks above the 50 Day MA at $111, likely move back up to top of Wave 1 at $132 quite quickly. Wave 2 typically retraces to 0.5 or 0.618 Fib — perfect on this chart, quite similar to the $NVO chart. || 2026-09-25 — $99.97 Friday afternoon price update. Video post (#103774) covering SE, PEP, UPS. Buy alert at $106 active. Still near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA).

2026-09-27 — email #103832 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — WATCHLIST (Image-based) new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 10 & 20 WATCHLIST chart post. No extractable text. || Price check: 2026-09-28 — $99.55 (-1.17%). Buy alert at $106 active. Near $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA). Sep 24 text analysis: expecting Wave 2 pullback to finish, then Wave 3 continuation.

2026-09-28 — email #103869 — BUY ALERT (Text) new

$SE BUY ALERT AT $98! — 5th Buy. Text-only Patreon post. Price check: 2026-09-28 close — $99.04 (-0.56%). Buy alert at $98 active (new lower buy level). Price continues to consolidate near $99-$100 zone. Wave 2 pullback still in progress; $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA) below. 5th buy entry — TLI accumulating.

Price check: 2026-09-29 — $98.37 (-0.54%). W2 pullback to 0.5-0.618 Fib range. BUY ALERT at $98 active.

2026-09-30 — email #103951 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 (Image-based) new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-30 — $98.62. Image-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 post. BUY ALERT at $98 active. W2 pullback ongoing, $104 support (0.5 Fib + 200 DMA) below.

2026-10-02 — email #104083 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 — Dipped Below 0.618 Fib new

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - Type: Text-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 post. - Although the price has dipped below the 0.618 Fib, this is actually very nice price action - Resistance at the 50 WMA; pullback to the 200 WMA - 200 WMA at $93 is clearly acting as a magnet — if that level can hold for support, this would be the next low risk entry level - Once support is confirmed, focus on challenging the 50 WMA at $109 from below - Then a higher high at $131, continue up to the Bull Case line at $148 - Wave 3 target remains at the 1.618 Fib at $192 Price check: 2026-10-02 — $95.27 (-2.15%). Dipped below 0.618 Fib. 200 WMA $93 = next low risk entry if holds. W3 target $192. || 2026-10-02 (afternoon) — $94.98 Live afternoon price update.

2026-10-04 — email #104171 — TOP 20 (Image-based)

Subject: $SE - TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-10-04 — $95.19 (prev close). Sunday TOP 20 batch post.

2026-10-05 — email #104261 — TOP 10 & TOP 20 WATCHLIST — Still a Buy, Target $181

Subject: $SE - TOP 10 & TOP 20 - WATCHLIST - Type: Text-based TOP 10 & TOP 20 WATCHLIST post. - "I want to reiterate that $SE is still a buy, in the buy zone" — showing positive signs it has found support on its 200 WMA - Standard Wave 2 pullback to a very strong support level, and sellers are drying up - Positive news from Brazil (where SE has a strong hold) — that index is roaring today - SE in the sweet spot between the 200 WMA and the 0.618 Fib at $98, where TLI last added - Hold between $94 - $98 = a very nice area to add; TLI considering one more buy - If a higher high and higher low follow and $98 flips to support, the pullback is complete and Wave 3 is next — target the 1.618 Fib at $181 - $SE is a buy. Price check: 2026-10-05 — $97.39 (-2.4%). In sweet spot 200 WMA to 0.618 Fib $98. Hold $94-$98 = add area. Flip $98 → W3, W3 target $181.

|| 2026-10-06 (afternoon) — $95.98 Live afternoon price update.

||| 2026-10-07 (pre-market) — $96.49 Live pre-market price update.

2026-10-07 — email #104370 — $SE Full Thesis — DCF $205, Buy at $98 (Text)

Subject: $SE - Full Thesis - Type: Full text-based thesis with extensive fundamental analysis.

Key thesis points: - Stanley Druckenmiller is involved — owns $SE from higher levels; TLI sees opportunity to own at better price - Diversification play away from US — Southeast Asia and Latin America exposure via Shopee, Monee, Garena - The Shopee/Monee/Garena flywheel: Shopee = commerce engine, Monee = financial services/monetization engine, Garena = gaming/cash generation - Sea is a much better company than 2 years ago — profitability discipline, rational spending, still growing - Technical setup: ABC correction finding support around 200 WMA; key level $98 (0.618 Fib) — if reclaimed = correction complete, Wave 3 target $181 - DCF valuation: $205/share ($160/share at 10% WACC — still 2x current market value) - Three divisions: Shopee (+49% rev YoY, 63.3% of rev), Monee (+58.9% rev YoY, 88.7% gross margin), Garena (+33.5% rev YoY, 71.8% gross margin) - Operating cash flow $2.56B H1'26; expected FCF $4.46B FY26, growing to $6.82B by FY30

Roadmap: Hold 200WMA → Higher low/higher high → Reclaim $98 as support → Correction complete → Wave 3 target $181 Price check: 2026-10-07 — $94.93 (-1.0%). Full Thesis published. Key level: $98 (0.618 Fib). 200 WMA support.

2026-10-08 — email #104399 — BUY ALERT @ $93

Subject: BUY ALERT Type: Text-based BUY ALERT. Content: $SE BUY ALERT @ $93

200 WMA at $93 held as support — buy alert triggered at the 200 WMA level TLI identified as the next low risk entry (see email #104083, Oct 2: "200 WMA at $93 is clearly acting as a magnet"). This is the 6th SE buy alert after $106, $98, and now $93. Price check: 2026-10-08 — $93.01 (at buy alert level $93). 200 WMA support held. W3 target $181 per Oct 5 thesis.