TGT — Research (2026-09-05)

Summary

TGT (Target) is a TLI SAFE HAVEN pick. Price has behaved exactly as expected for a safe haven. However, current levels aren't a buy — waiting for pullback to the Buy Zone.

TLI Analysis — Key Levels & Timeline

SAFE HAVEN Analysis (Sep 4, 2026 — email #102954)

• "TGT has behaved exactly how we would expect and hope for a Safe Haven to"
• Not buying at current levels — waiting for a pullback
• Buy Zone: Between 0.38 and 0.5 Fib ($144-$133)
• 0.5 Fib at $133 aligns perfectly with the 200 WMA — strong confluence
• Defensive retail positioning: consumer staples exposure
• Safe haven in uncertain macro environment

Position Context

• Conviction: ⭐⭐ — SAFE HAVEN pick
• Buy Zone: $144-$133 (waiting for pullback)
• Key level: $133 (0.5 Fib + 200 WMA confluence)
• Strategy: Don't chase, wait for buy zone

Sep 11, 2026 (email #103221) — SAFE HAVEN — Wave 2 Pullback

• TLI still very happy with TGT behavior
• But ideally want to see a Wave 2 pullback before buying
• Buy Zone would be the 200 WMA at $131
• Wave 2 pullback expected to retest the 200 WMA before continuation
• Price near $164 currently — not yet in the buy zone
• Strategy: Wait for pullback to $131 zone

Price Check new

|- 2026-09-11 — ~$164 Live price. Not yet in buy zone ($131 200 WMA). Waiting for Wave 2 pullback.

2026-10-06 — email #104290 — SAFE HAVEN — Not Buying Now, Watching

Subject: $TGT - SAFE HAVEN - Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post with chart image. Key analysis: - Likes $TGT a lot — likes the price action and the dividend - But NOT buying right now — wants to watch for better entry - Waiting for pullback setup to complete Price check: 2026-10-06 — $33.97 (NKE, not TGT — TGT price not tracked). Watching for entry.

|## Gaps |- No position size or holding information |- Earlier coverage (email #102954 is only available text)

2026-10-09 — email #104433 — SAFE HAVEN — Dropped Below 50 DMA $154, Expecting Buy Zone Drop

Subject: $TGT - SAFE HAVEN - Type: Text-based SAFE HAVEN post. Key analysis: - TLI considers $TGT a safe haven once it pulls back to Wave 2 support in the Buy Zone - Price dropped below 50 Day MA, now retesting from below at $154 - Expecting rejection under $154 and a lower low → price dropping into the Buy Zone - Similar pattern to $UNH — waiting for the buy zone to come to the price Price check: 2026-10-09 — pre-market. Below 50 DMA $154. Expecting Buy Zone entry as seen with UNH.