MSFT — Research (2026-09-07)

2026-09-07T00:00:00Z 2026-10-07T13:00:00Z msft tli research big-tech cloud
What changed in the latest update +24 −0
@@ -5 +5 @@ created: '2026-09-07T00:00:00Z' @@ -36,0 +37,3 @@ MSFT (Microsoft) is a TLI TOP 20 pick — TLI's #1 Big Tech position. Moved very + + |- **2026-09-15** — **$498.68** Live price update. + @@ -38,0 +42,21 @@ MSFT (Microsoft) is a TLI TOP 20 pick — TLI's #1 Big Tech position. Moved very + + ### 2026-09-14 — email #103287 + **Subject:** $MSFT - TOP 20 - + **Price check:** 2026-09-14 — $495.63 + $MSFT is a chart that I like a lot and we have now seen exactly what happens to MAG 7 positions when they test the 200 WMA.... there are no surprises. + + ### 2026-09-20 — email #103570 — TOP 20 (Image-based) + **Subject:** $MSFT - TOP 20 - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-18 close — **$493.78** (-0.80%). Testing near $493. MSFT 200 WMA playbook intact. Watching for support hold. + |- **2026-09-21** — **$498.80** — Slight recovery. 200 WMA playbook intact. Bullish setup per Sep 14 analysis. + + |||- **2026-09-24** — **$500.59** — Pre-market Sep 24 — $500.59 (Sep 23 close). 200 WMA playbook intact. Testing 50 WMA. Bullish setup. Watching for support hold above $493. + + ### 2026-09-27 — email #103822 — TOP 20 (Image-based) + **Subject:** $MSFT - TOP 20 - + **Type:** Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-28 — **$516.17** (+3.66%). Strong above 50 WMA. 200 WMA playbook intact. Bullish setup confirmed. + + **Price check:** 2026-09-29 — **$506.42** (-0.55%). Testing 200 WMA playbook. + | **2026-10-02 (afternoon)** — **$514.81** Live afternoon price update.

Sources

email://103037
new section edited section · markers reflect the latest update

Summary

MSFT (Microsoft) is a TLI TOP 20 pick — TLI's #1 Big Tech position. Moved very well after testing the 200 WMA. +18% post-earnings (per earlier notes). Q2(4)'26 Valuation Analysis completed. Held in IRA as core.

TLI Analysis (Sep 7, 2026)

  • Price action is exactly the type of move wanted after testing 200 WMA
  • But: when a price moves this aggressively, a pullback typically follows
  • Must remain patient and not rush any buys
  • Buy Zone on pullback: Near 0.5 Fib at $453, which aligns with the 50 WMA
  • That level would be the next low risk entry opportunity
  • Prior analysis (from Aug): impressive earnings, AI CapEx easing

Position Context

  • Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ — TOP 20
  • Role: Big Tech leader / AI infrastructure
  • Buy Zone: $453 (0.5 Fib + 50 WMA confluence)
  • Strategy: Wait for pullback, don't chase

Price Check edited

|- 2026-09-15 — $498.68 Live price update.

|- 2026-09-11 — $492.44 Live price update. - 2026-09-09 — $492.98 (-0.20%) Stable. Near flat.

2026-09-14 — email #103287 new

Subject: $MSFT - TOP 20 - Price check: 2026-09-14 — $495.63 $MSFT is a chart that I like a lot and we have now seen exactly what happens to MAG 7 positions when they test the 200 WMA.... there are no surprises.

2026-09-20 — email #103570 — TOP 20 (Image-based) new

Subject: $MSFT - TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-18 close — $493.78 (-0.80%). Testing near $493. MSFT 200 WMA playbook intact. Watching for support hold. |- 2026-09-21 — $498.80 — Slight recovery. 200 WMA playbook intact. Bullish setup per Sep 14 analysis.

|||- 2026-09-24 — $500.59 — Pre-market Sep 24 — $500.59 (Sep 23 close). 200 WMA playbook intact. Testing 50 WMA. Bullish setup. Watching for support hold above $493.

2026-09-27 — email #103822 — TOP 20 (Image-based) new

Subject: $MSFT - TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-28 — $516.17 (+3.66%). Strong above 50 WMA. 200 WMA playbook intact. Bullish setup confirmed.

Price check: 2026-09-29 — $506.42 (-0.55%). Testing 200 WMA playbook. | 2026-10-02 (afternoon) — $514.81 Live afternoon price update.

2026-10-04 — email #104168 — TOP 20 (Image-based)

Subject: $MSFT - TOP 20 - Type: Image-based TOP 20 chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-10-04 — $517.86 (prev close). Sunday TOP 20 batch post.

| 2026-10-06 (afternoon) — $531.55 Live afternoon price update.

| 2026-10-07 (pre-market) — $529.49 Live pre-market price update.