NVDA — Research (2026-09-07)

2026-09-07T00:00:00Z 2026-10-08T13:00:00Z nvda tli research semiconductors ai
What changed in the latest update +31 −1
@@ -5 +5 @@ created: '2026-09-07T00:00:00Z' @@ -9,0 +10 @@ sources: + - email://104081 @@ -52,0 +54,3 @@ NVDA (Nvidia) is heavily covered by TLI. Price hovering just below 1 Fib at $228 + + |- **2026-09-15** — **$211.95** Live price update. + @@ -54 +58,27 @@ NVDA (Nvidia) is heavily covered by TLI. Price hovering just below 1 Fib at $228 − - **2026-09-08 (close)** — $225.85 (-1.96% from Sep 4 close). Pulled back from $228 resistance. Still above 50 WMA $190 and 0.618 Fib $218 breakout level. Extended Wave 5 setup intact but market needs NVDA to lead. + - **2026-09-08 (close)** — $225.85 (-1.96% from Sep 4 close). Pulled back from $228 resistance. Still above 50 WMA $190 and 0.618 Fib $218 breakout level. Extended Wave 5 setup intact but market needs NVDA to lead. + + ### 2026-09-14 — email #103319 + **Subject:** $NVDA + **Price check:** 2026-09-14 — $218.29 + Comments from Anthropic and OpenAI over the weekend have spooked the market this morning. If these concerns gain traction and the sector sees a slowdown, spending could pull back, AI capex might even ... + |- **2026-09-21** — **$227.16** — Approaching $230 breakout level for final Cycle pop. Above 0.618 Fib $218. Wave 2 risk if $230 fails. + + ### 2026-09-23 — email #103688 — NVDA Coverage (Image-based) + **Subject:** $NVDA + **Type:** Image-based chart post. No extractable text. + **Price check:** 2026-09-23 — **$228.87** (+0.66%). At $230 breakout level — the key level for final Cycle pop. Above 0.618 Fib $218. Wave 2 risk if $230 fails. + + ||- **2026-09-24** — **$225.51** — Pre-market Sep 24 — $225.51 (Sep 23 close). Testing $230 breakout level. Sep 23 coverage #103688 at $228.87. Wave 2 risk to 200 WMA if fails. + + **Price check:** 2026-09-29 — **$228.21** (-0.28%). At $230 breakout level. + + ### 2026-10-02 — email #104081 — Battling Confluence $228-$236 + **Subject:** $NVDA + **Type:** Text-based coverage post. + - Continues to battle at the confluence level between **$228 and $236** + - ATH at $236; 1 Fib at $228; 0.7887 Fib at $231; wedge breakout level at $236 + - **Break above this strong confluence level and $NVDA enters the Bull Case**, then watch for Wave 5 to extend higher + - Kept the **1,272 Fib at $267** on the chart + - No other updates; watch for the price breaking above $236 + **Price check:** 2026-10-02 — **$230.86** (+1.09%). Inside confluence $228-$236. Break above $236 = Bull Case. 1.272 Fib $267 next. + | **2026-10-02 (afternoon)** — **$234.72** Live afternoon price update.

Sources

email://102882
email://101688
email://103238
email://104081
new section edited section · markers reflect the latest update

Summary

NVDA (Nvidia) is heavily covered by TLI. Price hovering just below 1 Fib at $228 and yellow resistance line. TLI notes: "the market needs $NVDA to move higher, without it, it's very difficult." Prior analysis showed holding above 50 WMA $190 with breakout at 0.618 Fib $218.

TLI Analysis

Sep 3, 2026 (email #102882)

  • Very strong day, price up 3%
  • Hovering just below 1 Fib at $228 and yellow resistance line
  • "$NVDA has even more attention on it right now than it usually does"
  • "The market needs $NVDA to move higher" — without it, the market struggles
  • All eyes on NVDA, watching price action

Aug 5, 2026 (email #101688)

  • Holding above 50 WMA at $190
  • Breakout at 0.618 Fib at $218
  • Extended Wave 5 bullish setup
  • Q2'26 Valuation Analysis and Earnings Results completed

Sep 11, 2026 (email #103238) — TWEET: Long Term Projection — Wave 2 Risk

  • NVDA needs to break above $230 for a final pop in this Cycle
  • Otherwise, Wave 2 is next for a retest of 200 WMA
  • Then the REAL AI Boom takes place in Wave 3
  • \"Adding NVDA at its 200 WMA is the dream buy\"
  • Price check: 2026-09-11 — $219.07 (+0.32%) — Still above $218 breakout, needs $230 for continuation

Position Context

  • Conviction: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ — Heavy, consistent coverage
  • Type: AI / Semiconductor leader
  • Key levels: $190 (50 WMA support), $218 (0.618 Fib), $228 (1 Fib resistance)
  • Role: Market bellwether — TLI watches NVDA as a market proxy

Price Check edited

|- 2026-09-15 — $211.95 Live price update.

|- 2026-09-11 — $218.36 Live price update. - 2026-09-08 (close) — $225.85 (-1.96% from Sep 4 close). Pulled back from $228 resistance. Still above 50 WMA $190 and 0.618 Fib $218 breakout level. Extended Wave 5 setup intact but market needs NVDA to lead.

2026-09-14 — email #103319 new

Subject: $NVDA Price check: 2026-09-14 — $218.29 Comments from Anthropic and OpenAI over the weekend have spooked the market this morning. If these concerns gain traction and the sector sees a slowdown, spending could pull back, AI capex might even ... |- 2026-09-21 — $227.16 — Approaching $230 breakout level for final Cycle pop. Above 0.618 Fib $218. Wave 2 risk if $230 fails.

2026-09-23 — email #103688 — NVDA Coverage (Image-based) new

Subject: $NVDA Type: Image-based chart post. No extractable text. Price check: 2026-09-23 — $228.87 (+0.66%). At $230 breakout level — the key level for final Cycle pop. Above 0.618 Fib $218. Wave 2 risk if $230 fails.

||- 2026-09-24 — $225.51 — Pre-market Sep 24 — $225.51 (Sep 23 close). Testing $230 breakout level. Sep 23 coverage #103688 at $228.87. Wave 2 risk to 200 WMA if fails.

Price check: 2026-09-29 — $228.21 (-0.28%). At $230 breakout level.

2026-10-02 — email #104081 — Battling Confluence $228-$236 new

Subject: $NVDA Type: Text-based coverage post. - Continues to battle at the confluence level between $228 and $236 - ATH at $236; 1 Fib at $228; 0.7887 Fib at $231; wedge breakout level at $236 - Break above this strong confluence level and $NVDA enters the Bull Case, then watch for Wave 5 to extend higher - Kept the 1,272 Fib at $267 on the chart - No other updates; watch for the price breaking above $236 Price check: 2026-10-02 — $230.86 (+1.09%). Inside confluence $228-$236. Break above $236 = Bull Case. 1.272 Fib $267 next. | 2026-10-02 (afternoon) — $234.72 Live afternoon price update.

| 2026-10-06 (afternoon) — $240.02 Live afternoon price update.

|| 2026-10-07 (pre-market) — $239.17 Live pre-market price update.

2026-10-08 — email #104386 — $1T Club, Dragging Market Higher

Subject: $NVDA Type: Text-based coverage post. Key analysis: - $NVDA has been single-handedly dragging the entire market higher over the last 2 weeks - Now over $1 Trillion in market cap, larger than its second closest company - Monster move from $191 (July lows) to new ATHs this week - Issue: Mag 7 companies distorting market performance — 20 companies carry the market while 480 move lower Price check: 2026-10-08 — $237.47 (Oct 7 close). Above $236 breakout level — Bull Case active. Monster move from $191 July lows. $1T+ milestone.