The Long Investor

2026-09-04T18:02:46Z 2026-09-04T18:02:46Z tli

Summary

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Details

TLI Hub — The Long Investor

Last updated: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC (afternoon close update — +6 new TLI emails)

A centralized hub for all positions, watchlist names, and research generated from The Long Investor Patreon research emails. Each ticker profile covers: TLI thesis, entry prices, current status, and how well price action has followed TLI's recommendations.

Anticipated updates: New TLI emails are processed by the email digest pipeline and reflected here on the next hub rebuild. Each profile links to source emails for traceability.


📊 Portfolio Snapshot

Held Positions (with TLI backing) — Worst-First Order

Ticker Price vs Support P&L Signal Alert
WYFI $19.23 -3.85% below $20 support ~-$1,407 🚨 BREACHED
BABA $112.85 +2.59% above $110 support +$2,947 🚨 CRITICAL
ASTS $62.21 +19.6% above $52 support -$4,180 🟢 RUN
ONDS $7.58 -15.8% below 50 WMA $9 -$375 🟡 WATCH
ADUR $13.51 +14.5% above $11.80 support +$10 🟢 RUN
NVO $46.54 +8.2% above $43 support +$167 🟢 RUN
JD $28.20 +8.46% above $26 support ~-$900 🟢 RUN
BMNR $24.86 +77.6% above $14 support -$12,472 🟡 WATCH
SIDU $2.08 +25.3% above $1.66 support -$2,258 🟡 WATCH
HIMS $27.55 No defined support Reduced 🟡 RISK
ZETA $31.36 Pulled back from 52w high Reduced 🟢 BEST CALL
OKLO $40.52 No defined cut -$872 🟢 RUN
ASTI $3.10 No cut level -$2,165 🟡 WATCH
EOSE $3.61 No cut level -$1,186 ⚪ NO TLI

All Ticker Profiles →

🎯 Buy Zone Watchlist (not yet held)

||| Ticker | Current | Buy Zone | Status | TLI Thesis | |||--------|---------|----------|-----------| |||| SEZL | $120.08 | $105–$122 | 🟡 AT ZONE TOP (-1.6% pullback) | 3-wave pullback, low-risk entry. | |||| DKNG | $23.92 | Within buy zone | 🟡 IN ZONE (-1.1% decline) | Earnings drop, bullish wedge. | |||| NVDA | $230.12 | 50 WMA $190 | 🟢 BROKE OUT $218 (+5.6%) | Wave 5 bullish. Breakout holds. | |||| DCTH | $16.36 | Added at $10 | 🟢 Running (-0.7%) | Wave 1 of Primary Wave 3. | |||| CCXI | $13.45 | $13.72 (0.618 Fib) | 🟡 PULLED BACK (-2.69%) near Fib | Wave 3 target $28. | |||| SHOP | $146.06 | $135–136 | 🟡 Wait for retest (+7.4%) | Q2 earnings +28%. Let it retest. | |||| EL | $103.73 | $64 (0.78 Fib) | 🟡 ABOVE 50 WMA (+2.85%) | 50 WMA $91 above, target 200 WMA $127. | |||| IREN | $43.85 | $32 (0.618 Fib) | 🟡 Above zone (+5.29%) | Focus $48 MA confluence. | |||| CIFR | $17.68 | $25.75 (bull line) | 🟡 Below resistance (+1.76%) | Must flip $25.75. | |||| CLSK | $12.63 | $14.90 (bull/bear) | 🟡 Below line (+0.36%) | Consolidating since 2024. | |||| SPOT | $543.55 | < $428 (0.618 Fib) | 🟡 Above zone (-2.96%) | Wait for pullback. | |||| ONTO | $266.59 | N/A (running) | 🟡 Running (+5.60%) | Double beat, don't chase. | |||| SLV | — | $53 (0.618 Fib) | Watch | Wave 5 target $160. NEW SILVER #102949 Sep 4. |

Closed / Removed Positions

Ticker Result Notes
OSCR CLOSED Sold to cover margin. Was buy alert @ $25.85, PT $56.
BULL CLOSED Sold 8/4 @ $7.39 (200 sh) — realized loss
PRT CLOSED Sold 8/4 @ $2.14 (1,281 sh) — realized loss
SOFI CLOSED Sold Jun 25 forced liquidation. Was TLI recurring.

📈 Recommendation Accuracy

Call Type Accuracy Notes
Wave pattern calls ⚠️ Mixed
Buy zone entries ⚠️ Mixed
Cut levels ⚠️ Not TLI-stated
Price targets ❌ Unhit
Deep dive conviction ✅ High
New TLI (Sep 4 afternoon) ✅ 6 more TLI emails

⚠️ Current Risk Watch

Signals that need attention:

|- WYFI — Price ($19.23) still breached below $20 support (-3.85%) but significantly improved from -6.1%. +2.4% gain to $19.23 — highest since breach. Closest to $20 retest yet. TLI sent standalone coverage (#102956) Sep 4 morning. Highest priority. Watch for $20 retest. |- BABA — At $112.85, +2.59% above $110 cut — buffer improved from 1.65%. Trending right direction. |- ASTS — $62.21 (+19.6% above $52 support). 4 TLI emails in 48h. Final buy +8.6% ITM. No longer urgent. |- ONDS — Still 15.8% below 50 WMA $9. Recovery stalled today. |- BMNR — -6.03% pullback from rally high at $26.45 to $24.86. Still 77.6% above $14 cut. Rally cooling. |- ZETA — -4.04% pullback from $32.68 to $31.36. Was $0.07 from 52w high, now $1.45 away. Normal profit-taking. |- HIMS — -0.99% decline. FTC risk remains. |- EOSE — Bounce holding. $3.61 is +3.0% gain. Not TLI-tracked.


📚 Source Email Coverage

Ticker Coverage Intensity Date Range
ASTS 25+ emails — most covered Jun 2025 – Sep 2026 (+ #102955 Sep 4)
ADUR 25+ emails — videos, TA Jun 2025 – Sep 2026
ONDS 20+ emails Apr 2025 – Sep 2026
JD 20+ emails — TOP 10 regular Mar 2025 – Sep 2026
BABA 20+ emails — TOP 20/10 Jun 2025 – Sep 2026 (+ #102878 Sep 3)
BMNR 10+ emails — since Oct 2025 Oct 2025 – Sep 2026
WYFI Extensive — Deep Dive, Wave analysis Jul – Sep 2026 (#102956 new)
OKLO 15+ emails — since Oct 2025 Oct 2025 – Sep 2026
SIDU Moderate — Deep Dive Jun 2026 May – Sep 2026
NVO TOP 10 regular + WATCHLIST Jul – Sep 2026 (#102952 new)
HIMS TOP 10 frequent Jun – Sep 2026 (+ #102883 Sep 3)
ZETA TOP 10 — Breakout setup Aug – Sep 2026
ASTI Watchlist — lower coverage Jun – Jul 2026
EOSE Single mention (Dec 2025) Dec 2025

New TLI Emails — Sep 4 Batch

15 TLI emails on Sep 4. Held-position coverage (3 in morning batch):

ID Date Subject Relevance Text?
#102980 Sep 4, 16:19 $NFLX Not held ?
#102979 Sep 4, 16:13 $LULU - Q2'26 Valuation Analysis Not held ?
#102970 Sep 4, 15:08 Fib Retracement - Lesson Educational — no ticker ?
#102966 Sep 4, 14:09 $NOW x $CRM - Q2'26 Infographics Not held ?
#102964 Sep 4, 13:12 $ORCL - WATCHLIST Not held ?
#102963 Sep 4, 13:09 How does this affect the Fed's Interest Rate decision? Not held ?
#102959 Sep 4, 10:57 $MRAM - DISCLAIMER - LOW MARKET CAP Not held ❌ Image
#102958 Sep 4, 10:50 $MSTR Not held ❌ Image
#102957 Sep 4, 10:43 $KHC - SAFE HAVEN +6.4% Div Not held ❌ Image
#102956 Sep 4, 10:34 $WYFI HELD — breached cut, improving ❌ Image
#102955 Sep 4, 10:25 $ASTS HELD — recovering ❌ Image
#102954 Sep 4, 10:14 $TGT - SAFE HAVEN Not held ❌ Image
#102953 Sep 4, 09:47 $LULU Not held ❌ Image
#102952 Sep 4, 09:15 $NVO - TOP 10 - WATCHLIST HELD — TOP 10 conviction ❌ Image
#102951 Sep 4, 09:10 $OWL - WATCHLIST Not held ❌ Image
#102949 Sep 4, 08:53 SILVER - SAFE HAVEN Watchlist ❌ Image

Also from Sep 3: #102904 COIN WATCHLIST, #102903 IREN Q2'26, #102897 Chinese Positions Update (BABA+JD), #102894 SPCX/ASTS note, #102883 HIMS TOP 10, #102882 NVDA, #102878 BABA TOP 20.

Summary: TLI sent 15 emails on Sep 4 — 3 for held positions (WYFI, ASTS, NVO) in the morning batch + 6 more in the afternoon (none for held positions). All 10 morning emails were image-based. Afternoon emails (#102963-102980) may have text — LULU valuation and NFLX likely textual but unrelated to held tickers. Notable: first standalone WYFI email since Jul 31 (#102956), standalone ASTS (#102955), explicit NVO TOP 10 - WATCHLIST (#102952), Fed rate commentary (#102963), and an educational Fib Retracement lesson (#102970).

Support levels are derived from TLI chart analysis (Fib, WMA, range floors), not TLI-stated stops.

Gaps