Oct 4-5, 2026

2026-10-05T00:00:00Z 2026-10-05T00:00:00Z tli research weekly

Sources

The Long Investor emails Oct 4-5, 2026

TLI Weekly Analysis — Sep 28 to Oct 5, 2026

Macro Signal

US added only 29,000 jobs in September 2026 — sharp hiring slowdown. TLI flags this as market-moving: jobs slowing → likely Fed rate cuts → supportive for bonds, gold, silver, and equities. Falling yields are the key tailwind.

Top 20 Changes

Change Detail Implication
SILVER added to Top 20 Silver officially entered the Top 20 list Silver is TLI's new preferred metals play — inflation hedge + rate-cut beneficiary
$NIO removed Dropped from Top 20 (not a Sell signal) Portfolio reshuffle — NIO was already a weak hold

Key TLI Calls (Oct 5)

Ticker Call Notes
$EWZ (Brazil ETF) BUY — Momentum + Income +11.8% in one day, new high $42.70. Pro-capitalist candidate won Brazil election first round. 3.8% dividend yield. "Safe haven" label.
$HSY (Hershey) Review / potential trim +3.8% dividend increase but flagged as "long-standing legacy position" — possible review for exit
$SE (Sea Limited) BUY — reiterate Holding support on the 200-week MA. Still in the buy zone.
$MU (Micron) Watch — Elliot Wave count Updated Elliot Wave analysis + infographics — watching for a setup
$CRM, $BKNG, $NFLX, $ZETA, $SPCX, $COIN, $DASH, $MSTR, $NU, $MELI Watchlist entries Individual ticker watchlists — no clear signal yet

Macro to Watch

  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield — TLI flagged as the critical metric this week
  • Jobs slowdown → yields falling → generally supportive for long-term growth and dividend stocks
  • $EWZ Brazil election — political catalyst driving capital into emerging markets

Actionable For You

  1. Silver is now TLI's preferred metals play — aligns with your earlier interest in precious metals
  2. $SE is a buy signal — cross-check against your current portfolio positions
  3. Falling yields = tailwind for growth/dividend stocks — good for the Dow/KO/JNJ type plays
  4. $EWZ — strong momentum play if you want international exposure

Source: TLI email batch Oct 4-5, 2026 (20+ emails). Analysis by Heero.